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Tropical Depression 08W spawns well southeast of Japan, 91W Invest forms south of Okinawa.

Tropical Depression 08W spawns well southeast of Japan, 91W Invest forms south of Okinawa. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

6 p.m. Wednesday, Aug. 23, Japan time: Traffic is picking up again along Typhoon Alley, with a new tropical depression well southeast of Japan and a second tropical disturbance a goodly distance south of Okinawa.

At 3 p.m., Tropical Depression 08W was 1,417 miles south-southeast of Yokosuka Naval Base, moving west-northwest at 6 mph with 35-mph sustained winds and 46-mph gusts at center. U.S. bases in Japan remain in seasonal Tropical Cyclone Conditions of Readiness.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center projects 08W to arc northeast for a couple of days, then northwest toward the end of its five-day forecast period as a tropical storm.

Long-range model-track guidance and forecast ensembles indicate a zig-zag track taking it off the coast of the Kanto Plain; how close and how strong, remains to be seen.

As for the disturbance labeled 91W Invest, at 9 a.m., it was 508 miles south of Kadena Air Base, heading northwest at 7 mph.

Model-track guidance and forecast ensembles also depict it making a zig-zag walk before heading toward Taiwan. But solutions are all over the lot at the moment; it’s still a very young disturbance. Storm Tracker has the watch.

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Dave Ornauer has been employed by or assigned to Stars and Stripes Pacific almost continuously since March 5, 1981. He covers interservice and high school sports at DODEA-Pacific schools and manages the Pacific Storm Tracker.

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